Sunday, September 7, 2008

The Palin Gambit, Will it Work?


This my friends is the defining image of the presidential campaign. Here is my controversial theory about the Sarah Palin pick to be the Republican Vice-presidential running mate.
1. The McCain people realize the campaign is really about 6 or so battleground states. They believe the vote in those states will come down to the white male vote. Hence Sarah Palin. Can she deliver?
2. The Democrats showed the Republicans how to effectively attack Sen. Obama. Hillary found her voice too late for her campaign, but she showed the Republicans how to attack Obama. Use a white woman. In the minds of America, it plays into an old racial paradigm, we will watch it play out in the next eight weeks.
3. The media got it wrong. McCain's people didn't care about vetting Palin for anything except the most serious improprieties such as ethics and finance. Palin is on the ticket to attack and destroy Obama in the minds of certain hard working Americans (code for white folks). Sounds prejudiced? Sounds jaundiced? We will see. Palin is the attack dog. McCain can't do it and stay on the high road.
4.Palin will discredit Obama and challenge him to get down and dirty. Obama has built his campaign on change. He can not attack her directly and stay on the high road. Biden can but must use indirect attacks. The only one who can neutralize Palin is Hillary. Will she do it? At what price?
5.There you have it. Racist? Realistic? You decide. Later I will decode the stratagem. Will it work? We will see.

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