The Palin Gambit is working so far. The Republican base is excited. Obama's camp has been off message. McCain is looking like the maverick he wants to be portrayed as. As long as Palin is the center of attention the issues fade to the back. Here is what you should look for in the next week:
1. Republicans will keep Palin the focus as long as possible. This keeps the Democrats off target and off message. Their attacks on her look negative. Until the VP debate, Palin is unstoppable. Only she can hurt herself.
2. McCain will be free to defend his VP nominee. This makes him look good to the people that matter--independents. He will continue to pick up percentages in the polls. Can Obama weather this hurricane Sarah?
3. The Democratic strategy must be to refocus the campaign on McCain/Bush. Quit crying about the Republicans stealing the "Change" theme. It just shows that everybody wants change. Obama's camp must define McCain with attack ads and keep it up until November. Will they do it?
4. Surrogates will be enrolled to counter Sarah Palin. If they define her with her own record in Alaska that will work. Personal attacks will backfire. She must be seen to be out of the mainstream and not credible. Can Obama's camp accomplish this?
Okay, look for more insights, remember you read it here first.
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